News & Notes from IACC
Small Employer Firms Say Revenues and Hiring Were Stronger For 2018, Though 2019 Outlook Is More Tempered
Federal Reserve Banks’ Small Business Report Finds Strong Revenue and Employment Growth with Profitability Similar to Prior Year; Financing Demand Stable, Requests to Online Lenders Notably Increasing
The 12 Federal Reserve Banks today issued the Small Business Credit Survey: 2019 Report on Employer Firms, which examines the findings of an annual survey of small business owners nationwide. The Report focuses on small employer firms, businesses that have between 1 and-499 full- or part-time payroll employees (hereafter "firms"). It is the latest addition to the Reserve Banks’ hub for small business research and analysis, FedSmallBusiness.org.
Fielded in the third and fourth quarters of 2018, the survey finds that while both revenue and employment growth improved from 2017, the share of firms that is profitable remained the same. The outlook for 2019 is more tempered. While credit demand increased marginally in 2018, the share of firms receiving credit remained essentially flat. Startup firms and firms with high credit risk continued to have financing shortfalls. Online lenders1 in particular saw applications increase by approximately one-third from the prior year, even though applicants remained dissatisfied with the interest rates and terms offered, relative to traditional lenders.
Key findings can be found in the 2019 Report on Employer Firms’executive summary. These findings include:
Performance and Expectations
- The share of firms reporting revenue and employment growth increased from 2017, but the share of firms operating at a profit remained flat.
- More than one-third of small firms (37%) added payroll employees in 2018.
- Employment gains were strongest among startups, firms with five or more employees, firms with more than $1M in annual revenues, and firms with younger decision makers (46 years of age or younger).
- A majority of firms (73%) saw input costs increase in the prior 12 months.
- Expectations for 2019 are mixed with a majority of firms (72%) expecting revenues to increase but 44% planning to add employees.
Financial Challenges and Reliance on Personal Finances
- Nearly two-thirds of firms (64%) continued to experience financial challenges, including difficulties with managing operating expenses, scarcity of credit, and challenges making debt payments.
- Two-thirds of these firms (66%) relied on personal finances to cover their costs, while 40% of firms took out additional debt.
Financing Demand, Approvals and Sources
- Respondents showed consistent year-over-year demand for new financing, with 43% of firms applying for new capital in 2018, similar to 40% in 2017.
- Nearly half of applicants (47%) received the full amount of funding they requested, similar to the 2017 survey.
- Financing shortfalls were particularly pronounced among firms with weak credit profiles, unprofitable firms, younger firms, and firms in urban areas.
- Applications to online lenders continued their growth trend with 32% of applicant firms turning to such lenders in 2018, up from 24% in 2017, and 19% in 2016. These applicants expected online lenders would make faster funding decisions, would be more likely to provide funding, and would not require collateral.
- Applicants who sought funding at large and small banks cited an existing relationship as the primary factor in their choice of lender.
Additional analyses from the 2018 Small Business Credit Survey will be released throughout 2019 at FedSmallBusiness.org. Future releases will take an in-depth look into specific types of small businesses, including nonemployer firms, minority-owned firms, and firms operating in low- and moderate-income communities.
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